Alberta is set to hold a referendum on provincial independence next week, with Prime Minister Mark Carney scheduled to address a pro-Canada rally in Calgary. The vote, which will determine whether the oil-rich province begins the process of separation from Canada, has drawn national attention. Current polls show support for remaining in Canada at 68%, while less than 25% of voters favor independence.

The referendum, which will take place on Monday, follows months of political tension in Alberta. Separatist leader Mitch Sylvestre has dismissed recent polling data, claiming the numbers are inaccurate. “I wouldn’t be surprised if we actually win this referendum,” Sylvestre told AFP. His comments highlight the polarized nature of the debate.

Carney’s visit to Calgary underscores the federal government’s concern over the potential impact of the vote on national unity. The referendum comes amid heightened tensions with the United States, which has been a key trading partner for Alberta’s energy sector. Analysts suggest the outcome could influence Canada’s foreign policy and economic strategy.

The referendum is seen as a test for Canada’s cohesion, particularly as the country navigates complex international relations. While the majority of Albertans currently support remaining part of Canada, the political climate remains volatile. The results could signal a shift in the province’s stance or reinforce its commitment to federal ties.

The vote reflects broader debates over provincial autonomy and economic priorities. Alberta’s economy, heavily reliant on oil and gas, has faced challenges due to global market fluctuations. Some separatists argue that independence would allow the province to pursue more favorable trade agreements. Others warn that separation could lead to economic instability and loss of federal support.

As the referendum approaches, the outcome remains uncertain. The event has sparked discussions across Canada, with many viewing it as a pivotal moment for the nation’s political landscape. The final result will likely shape the country’s future for years to come.